Data and analytics (Updated: 26/03/2020)
I downloaded the data on the geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) and loaded it into the R Statisctical Computing software.
In the Predictive Analytics available in R, I used the data for China and created the chart below for the expected infection rate in Germany.
Based on the shape of the graph representing the actual infection rate, I tried to estimate where in the curve we currently might be. As per these estimations, we probably have to expect lock down for another 21 days as per today.
Actual Data Germany
Predictive Analytics Germany
Actual Data China